ACH

This is a tool to assist in the use of the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses technique.

Get started by editing the example below or click the red clear button to start with an empty template.

import csvexport csvclearreset

Will Iraq Retaliate for US Bombing of Its Intelligence Headquarters?

Hypotheses:

H1:
Iraq will not retaliate
H2:
It will sponsor some minor terrorist actions.
H3:
Iraq is planning a major terrorist attack, perhaps against one or more CIA installations.
Add hypothesis
EvidenceCredibilityRelevanceH1H2H3
E1: Saddam public statement of intent not to retaliate.
E2: Absense of terrorist offensive during the 1991 Gulf War.
E3: Assumption that Iraq would not want to provoke another US attack.
E4: Increase in frequency/length of monitored Iraqi agent radio broadcasts.
E5: Iraqi embassies instructed to take increased security precautions.
E6: Assumption that failure to retaliate would be unacceptable loss of face for Saddam.
Inconsistency Scores-40-2
Weighted Inconsistency Scores-60-1.5
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